Pitchers whose ERA sits well above xERA with strong expected metrics underneath. Positive-regression targets.
1–25 of 87 players
1 / 4
| # | Primary Edge | Updated | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Jacob MisiorowskiRHB · Age 24 · 115 IP | MIL | SP | 57 | FB Velo +1.2velocity | STRONG BUY | −0.1 | Jul 21 |
| 2 |  Adrian MorejonLHB · Age 27 · 52 IP | SD | RP | 49 | FB Velo +2.7velocity | BUY | +7.5 | Jul 21 |
| 3 |  Jesús LuzardoLHB · Age 28 · 115 IP | PHI | SP | 48 | xwOBA +.026expected actual | BUY | −2.8 | Jul 21 |
| 4 |  Bryce MillerRHB · Age 27 · 63 IP | SEA | SP | 45 | K% +10.6contact | BUY | +5.8 | Jul 21 |
| 5 |  Kyle HarrisonRHB · Age 24 · 84 IP | MIL | SP | 45 | K% +5.2contact | BUY | +0.8 | Jul 21 |
| 6 |  Roki SasakiRHB · Age 24 · 87 IP | LAD | SP | 45 | FB Velo +1.6velocity | BUY | −1.4 | Jul 21 |
| 7 |  Aaron NolaRHB · Age 33 · 103 IP | PHI | SP | 40 | xwOBA +.045expected actual | BUY | +2.1 | Jul 21 |
| 8 |  Sam BachmanRHB · Age 26 · 43 IP | LAA | RP | 36 | FB Velo +2.4velocity | BUY | −1.2 | Jul 21 |
| 9 |  Louis VarlandLHB · Age 28 · 50 IP | TOR | RP | 36 | xERA −0.94expected actual | BUY | +2.4 | Jul 21 |
| 10 |  Jeff HoffmanRHB · Age 33 · 42 IP | TOR | RP | 36 | xERA +1.37expected actual | BUY | +2.1 | Jul 21 |
| 11 |  Drew AndersonRHB · Age 32 · 57 IP | DET | RP | 35 | xwOBA +.041expected actual | BUY | +7.8 | Jul 21 |
| 12 |  Braxton AshcraftLHB · Age 26 · 116 IP | PIT | SP | 34 | xERA +0.64expected actual | BUY | −6.4 | Jul 21 |
| 13 |  Jonathan BowlanRHB · Age 29 · 32 IP | PHI | RP | 34 | FB Velo +1.8velocity | BUY | +7.5 | Jul 21 |
| 14 |  Sean BurkeRHB · Age 26 · 112 IP | CWS | SP | 33 | BB% +3.2discipline | BUY | +3.0 | Jul 21 |
| 15 |  Kyle FreelandLHB · Age 33 · 89 IP | COL | SP | 32 | xERA +1.97expected actual | BUY | +7.3 | Jul 21 |
| 16 |  Drew RasmussenRHB · Age 30 · 99 IP | TB | SP | 32 | xwOBA −.020expected actual | BUY | +1.1 | Jul 21 |
| 17 |  Ranger SuarezLHB · Age 30 · 91 IP | BOS | SP | 31 | Spin Rate +107spin | BUY | −0.3 | Jul 21 |
| 18 |  Matt WaldronRHB · Age 29 · 29 IP | SD | RP | 31 | xERA +3.43expected actual | BUY | +0.2 | Jul 21 |
| 19 |  Landen RouppRHB · Age 27 · 104 IP | SF | SP | 30 | Hard-Hit% +10.0quality of contact | BUY | −1.1 | Jul 21 |
| 20 |  Antonio SenzatelaRHB · Age 31 · 49 IP | COL | RP | 30 | FB Velo +2.3velocity | BUY | +0.7 | Jul 21 |
| 21 |  Shota ImanagaLHB · Age 32 · 115 IP | CHC | SP | 30 | FB Velo +1.0velocity | BUY | −2.2 | Jul 21 |
| 22 |  Cam SchlittlerRHB · Age 25 · 123 IP | NYY | SP | 29 | xERA −0.82expected actual | BUY | +4.0 | Jul 21 |
| 23 |  Cooper CriswellRHB · Age 29 · 31 IP | SEA | RP | 28 | FB Velo +1.6velocity | BUY | +1.8 | Jul 21 |
| 24 |  Mason MillerRHB · Age 27 · 41 IP | SD | RP | 28 | Hard-Hit% +15.7quality of contact | BUY | +9.0 | Jul 21 |
| 25 |  Chris SaleLHB · Age 37 · 105 IP | ATL | SP | 27 | xERA −1.25expected actual | BUY | +8.1 | Jul 21 |