Cam Schlittler

SPQualified

New York Yankees · AL · Age 25 · Bats R / Throws R · 123.0 IP · 489 BF

↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 49 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

+4.0 last 7 days

BUYThe process is ahead of the results — bb% vs baseline: 5.1 actual vs 10.2 deserved.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

W-L

9-6

123.0

145

ERA

2.20

WHIP

0.96

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xERA3.03

xwOBA.271

xBA.217

xSLG.353

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

ERA2.20

wOBA.258

BA.205

SLG.335

BABIP.281

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

ERA vs xERA−0.8326

wOBA against vs xwOBA−.01332

BA against vs xBA−.01232

SLG against vs xSLG−.01834

BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050

Arsenal & pitch shapes

2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective

Pitch	Usage	Velo	vs 2025	Velo pctl	Spin	IVB	HB
4-Seam Fastball	44.6%(−11.3)	97.8lg 94.5	−0.2	9360	2498	16.9"lg 15.4	5.3"lg 7.8
Cutter	26.6%(+6.9)	94.5lg 89.5	+2.5	9693	2554	10.4"lg 7.9	5.6"lg 2.4
Sinker	20.0%(+13.9)	97.6lg 94.0	±0.0	9420	2325	10.8"lg 8.4	13.7"lg 15.0
Curveball	7.4%(−7.4)	85.3lg 80.3	+2.0	9288	2524	-10.5"lg -10.3	5.6"lg 8.8
Slider	1.5%(+0.3)	89.6lg 86.2	−0.4	9311	2512	—lg 1.5	—lg 4.1

IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.

Mechanics Watch

2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average

No mechanical changes detected

Arm slot

73 pctl · +2.0° vs prior

What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	5.1	10.2	−5.1	98	96
Spin Rate Spin rate vs baseline	Spin	2498	2435	+63	93	85
IVB Induced vertical break vs baseline	Movement	16.9	16.3	+0.6	89	78
Horiz. Break Horizontal break vs baseline	Movement	5.3	5.9	−0.6	21	59
K% K% vs baseline	Contact	29.7	27.6	+2.1	78	56
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	27.6	26.1	+1.5	77	55
xERA ERA vs xERA	Expected vs Actual	2.20	3.03	−0.83	26	48
xwOBA wOBA against vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.258	.271	−.013	32	37
xBA BA against vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.205	.217	−.012	32	36
xSLG SLG against vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.335	.353	−.018	34	31
FB Velo Fastball velo vs baseline	Velocity	97.8	98.0	−0.2	35	30
Barrel% Barrel% against vs league	Quality of Contact	8.3	7.8	+0.5	37	26
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% against vs league	Quality of Contact	38.9	38.8	+0.1	46	8
xBABIP BABIP against vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.281	.281	+.000	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	@ CIN	L 5-9	5.1 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 98.0 mph
Jul 15	vs CIN	W 7-1	5.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 98.1 mph
Jul 10	vs AZ	W 6-0	5.1 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 97.9 mph
Jul 4	vs TEX	L 4-5	6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 97.1 mph
Jun 28	@ CIN	W 5-0	5.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 95.7 mph
Jun 22	@ TB	W 6-5	4.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.3 mph
Jun 17	@ SD	L 5-10	5.1 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 97.2 mph
Jun 12	vs SEA	W 7-2	5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 97.8 mph
Jun 6	@ KC	W 8-7	5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 2 BB	Avg FB 97.8 mph
Jun 1	@ SF	L 1-3	5.2 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.0 mph

Percentile rankings

xERA

xwOBA Against

BB%

Whiff%

FB Velocity

Hard-Hit% Against

Spin Rate

30-day rolling trends

Rolling ERA vs xERA

ERAxERA

Rolling Hard-Hit% Against

Rolling FB Velocity

Rolling Stuff Index

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

Usage

Velo

vs 2025

Velo pctl

Spin

IVB

4-Seam Fastball

44.6%(−11.3)

97.8lg 94.5

−0.2

9360

2498

16.9"lg 15.4

5.3"lg 7.8

Cutter

26.6%(+6.9)

94.5lg 89.5

+2.5

9693

2554

10.4"lg 7.9

5.6"lg 2.4

Sinker

20.0%(+13.9)

97.6lg 94.0

±0.0

9420

2325

10.8"lg 8.4

13.7"lg 15.0

Curveball

7.4%(−7.4)

85.3lg 80.3

+2.0

9288

2524

-10.5"lg -10.3

5.6"lg 8.8

Slider

1.5%(+0.3)

89.6lg 86.2

−0.4

9311

2512

—lg 1.5

—lg 4.1

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

5.1

10.2

−5.1

Spin Rate

Spin rate vs baseline

Spin

2498

2435

+63

IVB

Induced vertical break vs baseline

Movement

16.9

16.3

+0.6

Horiz. Break

Horizontal break vs baseline

Movement

5.3

5.9

−0.6

K% vs baseline

Contact

29.7

27.6

+2.1

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

27.6

26.1

+1.5

xERA

ERA vs xERA

Expected vs Actual

2.20

3.03

−0.83

xwOBA

wOBA against vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.258

.271

−.013

xBA

BA against vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.205

.217

−.012

xSLG

SLG against vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.335

.353

−.018

FB Velo

Fastball velo vs baseline

Velocity

97.8

98.0

−0.2

Barrel%

Barrel% against vs league

Quality of Contact

8.3

7.8

+0.5

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% against vs league

Quality of Contact

38.9

38.8

+0.1

xBABIP

BABIP against vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.281

+.000

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

@ CIN

L 5-9

5.1 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Jul 15

vs CIN

W 7-1

5.0 IP, 2 ER, 7 K, 0 BB

Jul 10

vs AZ

W 6-0

5.1 IP, 0 ER, 6 K, 2 BB

Jul 4

vs TEX

L 4-5

6.0 IP, 1 ER, 8 K, 1 BB

Jun 28

@ CIN

W 5-0

5.1 IP, 2 ER, 6 K, 1 BB

Jun 22

@ TB

W 6-5

4.1 IP, 2 ER, 5 K, 1 BB

Jun 17

@ SD

L 5-10

5.1 IP, 0 ER, 7 K, 2 BB

Jun 12

vs SEA

W 7-2

5.0 IP, 0 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

Jun 6

@ KC

W 8-7

5.0 IP, 3 ER, 5 K, 2 BB

Jun 1

@ SF

L 1-3

5.2 IP, 1 ER, 9 K, 1 BB