Lucky Pitchers · Diamond Intelligence

Pitchers with ERA well below xERA and weak-contact luck. Expect the surface numbers to drift up toward the expected metrics.

1–25 of 109 players

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Pitchers with ERA well below xERA and weak-contact luck. Expect the surface numbers to drift up toward the expected metrics.

#					Primary Edge			Updated
1	Merrill KellyRHB · Age 37 · 99 IP	AZ	SP	58	xERA −2.34expected actual	STRONG SELL	−10.0	Jul 21
2	Kyle LeahySHB · Age 29 · 89 IP	STL	SP	56	xERA −1.65expected actual	STRONG SELL	+2.1	Jul 21
3	Tomoyuki SuganoRHB · Age 36 · 91 IP	COL	SP	56	xERA −2.23expected actual	STRONG SELL	±0.0	Jul 21
4	Robbie RayLHB · Age 34 · 111 IP	SF	SP	49	xERA −1.28expected actual	SELL	+0.2	Jul 21
5	Gordon GraceffoRHB · Age 26 · 48 IP	STL	RP	48	xwOBA −.089expected actual	SELL	+5.1	Jul 21
6	Zack LittellRHB · Age 30 · 96 IP	WSH	SP	47	xERA −1.14expected actual	SELL	+0.9	Jul 21
7	Carmen MlodzinskiRHB · Age 27 · 84 IP	PIT	RP	46	xERA −1.75expected actual	SELL	−4.9	Jul 21
8	Kyle BradishRHB · Age 29 · 107 IP	BAL	SP	45	K% −14.0contact	SELL	−10.6	Jul 21
9	Michael KingRHB · Age 31 · 113 IP	SD	SP	45	xwOBA −.043expected actual	SELL	−3.7	Jul 21
10	Eduardo RodriguezLHB · Age 33 · 117 IP	AZ	SP	43	xERA −2.48expected actual	SELL	+7.6	Jul 21
11	Eric LauerRHB · Age 31 · 77 IP	LAD	SP	41	K% −9.4contact	SELL	−7.9	Jul 21
12	Mitch KellerRHB · Age 30 · 103 IP	PIT	SP	41	xwOBA −.026expected actual	SELL	−4.0	Jul 21
13	Nick LodoloLHB · Age 28 · 63 IP	CIN	SP	40	xERA −1.52expected actual	SELL	−8.2	Jul 21
14	PJ PoulinRHB · Age 29 · 37 IP	WSH	RP	40	xERA −2.68expected actual	SELL	+1.1	Jul 21
15	Tanner BibeeRHB · Age 27 · 119 IP	CLE	SP	38	xwOBA −.028expected actual	SELL	−0.1	Jul 21
16	Zac GallenRHB · Age 30 · 98 IP	AZ	SP	38	K% −7.6contact	SELL	−1.3	Jul 21
17	Justin WrobleskiLHB · Age 26 · 100 IP	LAD	SP	37	xwOBA −.054expected actual	SELL	+8.3	Jul 21
18	Shane BazRHB · Age 27 · 118 IP	BAL	SP	36	FB Velo −0.9velocity	SELL	−1.2	Jul 21
19	Seth LugoRHB · Age 36 · 111 IP	KC	SP	36	xERA −1.13expected actual	SELL	−1.6	Jul 21
20	Connor PhillipsRHB · Age 25 · 28 IP	CIN	RP	35	xwOBA −.031expected actual	SELL	−0.8	Jul 21
21	Michael McGreevyLHB · Age 26 · 108 IP	STL	SP	35	xERA −2.42expected actual	SELL	+12.8	Jul 21
22	Colin ReaRHB · Age 36 · 101 IP	CHC	SP	34	xERA −0.71expected actual	SELL	−3.6	Jul 21
23	Nick MartinezLHB · Age 35 · 111 IP	TB	SP	34	xERA −2.12expected actual	SELL	−5.3	Jul 21
24	Bubba ChandlerSHB · Age 23 · 94 IP	PIT	SP	34	BB% −9.9discipline	SELL	−3.9	Jul 21
25	JT BrubakerRHB · Age 32 · 48 IP	SF	RP	32	xwOBA −.055expected actual	SELL	−2.0	Jul 21

1–25 of 109 players

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