Tomoyuki Sugano
SPQualifiedColorado Rockies · NL · Age 36 · Bats R / Throws R · 90.7 IP · 382 BF
↓ Negative regressionSTRONG SELLRank 4 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
55
±0.0 last 7 days
SELLThe results are ahead of the process — barrel% against vs league: 13.7 actual vs 7.8 deserved.
Most likely driver: fastball shape degraded — flatter, more hittable (44% confidence).
W-L
9-4
SV
0
IP
90.7
K
51
BB
23
ERA
4.76
WHIP
1.29
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA7.00
xwOBA.394
xBA.311
xSLG.560
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA4.76
wOBA.350
BA.268
SLG.513
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−2.246
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.0448
BA against vs xBA−.0439
SLG against vs xSLG−.04717
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 21.1%(+2.2) | 92.3lg 94.5 | −0.4 | 1678 | 2416 | 14.6"lg 15.4 | 5.6"lg 7.8 |
| Splitter | 20.5%(−3.0) | 86.9lg 86.7 | −0.4 | 5092 | 1669 | 6.1"lg 3.1 | 10.9"lg 11.1 |
| Sinker | 19.7%(+3.6) | 92.2lg 94.0 | −0.7 | 2300 | 2296 | 11.3"lg 8.4 | 13.1"lg 15.0 |
| SliderNEW | 11.4% | 85.2lg 86.2 | — | 3017 | 2594 | -0.3"lg 1.5 | 3.6"lg 4.1 |
| Cutter | 10.5%(−1.5) | 88.9lg 89.5 | +0.7 | 4116 | 2487 | 6.1"lg 7.9 | 1.2"lg 2.4 |
| Sweeper | 10.4%(−9.4) | 83.7lg 82.5 | +0.1 | 6621 | 2562 | 2.7"lg 0.9 | 8.8"lg 13.7 |
| Curveball | 6.5%(−3.2) | 79.8lg 80.3 | +1.6 | 4051 | 2675 | -8.8"lg -10.3 | 6.3"lg 8.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
59 pctl · −0.1° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
6
xwOBA Against
6
K%
5
BB%
89
Whiff%
4
FB Velocity
20
Hard-Hit% Against
16
Spin Rate
81
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%