Overperforming Hitters · Diamond Intelligence

Negative-regression hitters: actual results well above expected metrics. Sell-high candidates propped up by batted-ball luck.

1–25 of 42 players

1 / 2

Negative-regression hitters: actual results well above expected metrics. Sell-high candidates propped up by batted-ball luck.

#					Primary Edge			Updated
1	Ernie ClementRHB · Age 30 · 390 PA	TOR	2B	66	xwOBA −.050expected actual	STRONG SELL	−4.5	Jul 21
2	Andrés GiménezLHB · Age 27 · 321 PA	TOR	SS	61	Hard-Hit% −14.6quality of contact	STRONG SELL	−0.3	Jul 21
3	TJ RumfieldLHB · Age 26 · 398 PA	COL	1B	61	xwOBA −.051expected actual	STRONG SELL	−7.4	Jul 21
4	José CaballeroRHB · Age 29 · 308 PA	NYY	SS	56	xwOBA −.029expected actual	STRONG SELL	+2.9	Jul 21
5	Chase MeidrothRHB · Age 24 · 400 PA	CWS	2B	55	xwOBA −.036expected actual	SELL	+4.1	Jul 21
6	Luis ArraezLHB · Age 29 · 419 PA	SF	2B	53	xwOBA −.046expected actual	SELL	+1.5	Jul 21
7	Ceddanne RafaelaRHB · Age 25 · 389 PA	BOS	CF	51	xwOBA −.048expected actual	SELL	+8.1	Jul 21
8	Chandler SimpsonLHB · Age 25 · 369 PA	TB	LF	50	xwOBA −.030expected actual	SELL	±0.0	Jul 21
9	Nasim NuñezSHB · Age 25 · 319 PA	WSH	2B	49	Hard-Hit% −17.6quality of contact	SELL	−5.1	Jul 21
10	Justin CrawfordLHB · Age 22 · 296 PA	PHI	CF	49	xwOBA −.014expected actual	SELL	−8.7	Jul 21
11	Jose AltuveRHB · Age 36 · 332 PA	HOU	2B	45	xwOBA −.028expected actual	SELL	−9.5	Jul 21
12	Isaac ParedesRHB · Age 27 · 400 PA	HOU	3B	44	xwOBA −.022expected actual	SELL	+0.1	Jul 21
13	Brandon MarshLHB · Age 28 · 378 PA	PHI	LF	44	xwOBA −.029expected actual	SELL	−5.2	Jul 21
14	Jake McCarthyLHB · Age 28 · 321 PA	COL	CF	44	xwOBA −.058expected actual	SELL	+2.9	Jul 21
15	Ozzie AlbiesSHB · Age 29 · 428 PA	ATL	2B	42	xwOBA −.032expected actual	SELL	+11.1	Jul 21
16	Jung Hoo LeeLHB · Age 27 · 366 PA	SF	RF	41	xwOBA −.021expected actual	SELL	+5.9	Jul 21
17	Liam HicksLHB · Age 27 · 355 PA	MIA	C	40	xwOBA −.044expected actual	SELL	−14.4	Jul 21
18	Carter JensenLHB · Age 23 · 363 PA	KC	C	39	xwOBA −.038expected actual	SELL	+1.9	Jul 21
19	Nick GonzalesRHB · Age 27 · 390 PA	PIT	3B	37	xwOBA −.021expected actual	SELL	+0.4	Jul 21
20	Willi CastroSHB · Age 29 · 333 PA	COL	2B	37	xwOBA −.030expected actual	SELL	+1.6	Jul 21
21	Travis BazzanaLHB · Age 23 · 300 PA	CLE	2B	36	xSLG −.072expected actual	SELL	−1.1	Jul 21
22	Zach NetoRHB · Age 25 · 436 PA	LAA	SS	36	xwOBA −.027expected actual	SELL	+5.1	Jul 21
23	Brayan RocchioSHB · Age 25 · 376 PA	CLE	SS	36	xwOBA −.019expected actual	SELL	−7.1	Jul 21
24	Cedric MullinsLHB · Age 31 · 331 PA	TB	CF	34	xwOBA −.015expected actual	SELL	−1.3	Jul 21
25	Otto LopezRHB · Age 27 · 419 PA	MIA	SS	33	xwOBA −.037expected actual	SELL	+4.4	Jul 21

1–25 of 42 players

1 / 2