Positive-regression hitters: expected stats (xBA, xSLG, xwOBA) well above actual results. Buy-low candidates whose surface line should improve.
1–25 of 73 players
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| # | Primary Edge | Updated | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mike TroutRHB · Age 34 · 367 PA | LAA | CF | 75 | xwOBA +.033expected actual | STRONG BUY | +6.8 | Jul 21 |
| 2 |  James WoodLHB · Age 23 · 470 PA | WSH | RF | 74 | Barrel% +14.8quality of contact | STRONG BUY | +3.7 | Jul 21 |
| 3 |  Miguel VargasRHB · Age 26 · 424 PA | CWS | 3B | 73 | xwOBA +.038expected actual | STRONG BUY | +1.0 | Jul 21 |
| 4 |  Yordan AlvarezLHB · Age 29 · 436 PA | HOU | DH | 65 | xwOBA +.032expected actual | STRONG BUY | −3.9 | Jul 21 |
| 5 |  Brandon NimmoLHB · Age 33 · 398 PA | TEX | RF | 62 | xwOBA +.044expected actual | STRONG BUY | +9.7 | Jul 21 |
| 6 |  Cam SmithRHB · Age 23 · 374 PA | HOU | RF | 60 | xwOBA +.048expected actual | STRONG BUY | −0.2 | Jul 21 |
| 7 |  Trent GrishamLHB · Age 29 · 319 PA | NYY | CF | 54 | xwOBA +.026expected actual | BUY | −2.7 | Jul 21 |
| 8 |  Bobby Witt Jr.RHB · Age 26 · 414 PA | KC | SS | 53 | xwOBA +.040expected actual | BUY | −4.3 | Jul 21 |
| 9 |  Freddie FreemanLHB · Age 36 · 424 PA | LAD | 1B | 52 | xwOBA +.012expected actual | BUY | +13.6 | Jul 21 |
| 10 |  Alec BurlesonLHB · Age 27 · 412 PA | STL | 1B | 51 | xwOBA +.034expected actual | BUY | +5.4 | Jul 21 |
| 11 |  Juan SotoLHB · Age 27 · 351 PA | NYM | LF | 50 | xSLG +.054expected actual | BUY | +3.3 | Jul 21 |
| 12 |  Fernando Tatis Jr.RHB · Age 27 · 433 PA | SD | RF | 48 | xwOBA +.027expected actual | BUY | ±0.0 | Jul 21 |
| 13 |  Pete AlonsoRHB · Age 31 · 437 PA | BAL | 1B | 48 | xwOBA +.025expected actual | BUY | −5.1 | Jul 21 |
| 14 |  Bryce HarperLHB · Age 33 · 424 PA | PHI | 1B | 48 | xwOBA +.018expected actual | BUY | +8.3 | Jul 21 |
| 15 |  Sal StewartRHB · Age 22 · 428 PA | CIN | 1B | 47 | Barrel% +6.5quality of contact | BUY | +9.6 | Jul 21 |
| 16 |  Matt McLainRHB · Age 26 · 309 PA | CIN | 2B | 46 | xwOBA +.035expected actual | BUY | −5.1 | Jul 21 |
| 17 |  JJ BledayLHB · Age 28 · 297 PA | CIN | LF | 45 | Bat Speed +2.2swing | BUY | −4.3 | Jul 21 |
| 18 |  J.P. CrawfordLHB · Age 31 · 349 PA | SEA | SS | 44 | xwOBA +.017expected actual | BUY | +5.6 | Jul 21 |
| 19 |  Shea LangeliersRHB · Age 28 · 399 PA | ATH | C | 43 | Barrel% +7.5quality of contact | BUY | +3.4 | Jul 21 |
| 20 |  Tyler SoderstromLHB · Age 24 · 360 PA | ATH | LF | 43 | xSLG −.043expected actual | BUY | −4.8 | Jul 21 |
| 21 |  Riley GreeneLHB · Age 25 · 413 PA | DET | LF | 43 | xBABIP −.096expected actual | BUY | +4.3 | Jul 21 |
| 22 |  Nick KurtzLHB · Age 23 · 412 PA | ATH | 1B | 42 | Hard-Hit% +20.7quality of contact | BUY | +1.1 | Jul 21 |
| 23 |  Jackson MerrillLHB · Age 23 · 410 PA | SD | CF | 41 | xwOBA +.030expected actual | BUY | −3.1 | Jul 21 |
| 24 |  Dillon DinglerRHB · Age 27 · 375 PA | DET | C | 40 | xwOBA +.018expected actual | BUY | −0.2 | Jul 21 |
| 25 |  JJ WetherholtLHB · Age 23 · 423 PA | STL | 2B | 40 | xSLG +.032expected actual | BUY | +5.2 | Jul 21 |