Kyle Bradish
SPQualifiedBaltimore Orioles · AL · Age 29 · Bats R / Throws R · 107.3 IP · 454 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 11 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
46
−10.6 last 7 days
SELLThe results are ahead of the process — k% vs baseline: 23.3 actual vs 37.3 deserved.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (27% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −3.3°.
W-L
6-9
SV
0
IP
107.3
K
106
BB
50
ERA
3.61
WHIP
1.35
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.83
xwOBA.303
xBA.228
xSLG.366
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.61
wOBA.312
BA.237
SLG.382
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.2245
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.00962
BA against vs xBA+.00962
SLG against vs xSLG+.01658
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 33.8%(+1.2) | 94.7lg 94.0 | −0.1 | 5949 | 2174 | 12.9"lg 8.4 | 11.3"lg 15.0 |
| Slider | 26.7%(−5.3) | 87.4lg 86.2 | +0.5 | 6781 | 2624 | 0.0"lg 1.5 | 13.1"lg 4.1 |
| Curveball | 22.0%(+9.2) | 84.7lg 80.3 | +0.7 | 9003 | 2682 | -13.3"lg -10.3 | 7.0"lg 8.8 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 17.5%(−5.2) | 94.0lg 94.5 | −0.4 | 3867 | 2407 | 13.4"lg 15.4 | 2.0"lg 7.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −3.3°
Arm slot
92 pctl · −3.3° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
65
xwOBA Against
65
K%
63
BB%
24
Whiff%
59
FB Velocity
41
Hard-Hit% Against
70
Spin Rate
79
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%