Michael McGreevy
SPQualifiedSt. Louis Cardinals · NL · Age 26 · Bats L / Throws R · 108.0 IP · 427 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 31 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
34
+12.8 last 7 days
SELLThe results are ahead of the process — slg against vs xslg: .393 actual vs .490 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
4-7
SV
0
IP
108.0
K
71
BB
24
ERA
2.92
WHIP
1.10
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.35
xwOBA.352
xBA.285
xSLG.490
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA2.92
wOBA.293
BA.236
SLG.393
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−2.435
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.0594
BA against vs xBA−.0496
SLG against vs xSLG−.0974
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 25.4%(−0.1) | 91.7lg 94.5 | −1.3 | 978 | 2240 | 12.6"lg 15.4 | 8.2"lg 7.8 |
| Changeup | 20.0%(+10.0) | 86.8lg 86.6 | −1.2 | 5049 | 1737 | 2.2"lg 4.1 | 13.4"lg 14.0 |
| Sinker | 16.8%(−5.4) | 90.5lg 94.0 | −1.2 | 749 | 2187 | 5.0"lg 8.4 | 11.9"lg 15.0 |
| Curveball | 11.5%(−0.6) | 78.1lg 80.3 | −1.5 | 2595 | 2514 | -11.9"lg -10.3 | 13.0"lg 8.8 |
| Cutter | 11.4%(+1.6) | 86.9lg 89.5 | −1.7 | 1336 | 2316 | 6.3"lg 7.9 | 2.0"lg 2.4 |
| Sweeper | 10.5%(−9.7) | 81.6lg 82.5 | −2.1 | 3483 | 2454 | -1.7"lg 0.9 | 14.0"lg 13.7 |
| Slider | 4.3%(+4.1) | 83.5lg 86.2 | −0.5 | 1568 | 2413 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
35 pctl · −0.1° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
22
xwOBA Against
22
K%
14
BB%
92
Whiff%
10
FB Velocity
13
Hard-Hit% Against
31
Spin Rate
32
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%