Eric Lauer
SPQualifiedLos Angeles Dodgers · NL · Age 31 · Bats R / Throws L · 76.7 IP · 325 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 17 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
42
−7.9 last 7 days
SELLThe results are ahead of the process — k% vs baseline: 14.5 actual vs 23.9 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
4-5
SV
0
IP
76.7
K
47
BB
27
ERA
4.81
WHIP
1.28
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.97
xwOBA.341
xBA.256
xSLG.470
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA4.81
wOBA.334
BA.245
SLG.462
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.1647
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00740
BA against vs xBA−.01134
SLG against vs xSLG−.00840
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 44.5%(−2.1) | 90.9lg 94.5 | −0.8 | 476 | 2163 | 15.5"lg 15.4 | 9.1"lg 7.8 |
| Cutter | 19.1%(−1.8) | 87.1lg 89.5 | +0.7 | 1661 | 2363 | 8.3"lg 7.9 | 1.6"lg 2.4 |
| Changeup | 16.4%(+8.4) | 84.2lg 86.6 | −0.8 | 1890 | 1331 | 6.3"lg 4.1 | 12.4"lg 14.0 |
| Curveball | 12.5%(−1.9) | 75.7lg 80.3 | +0.7 | 1013 | 2396 | -9.3"lg -10.3 | 8.7"lg 8.8 |
| Slider | 7.5%(−2.6) | 82.5lg 86.2 | −0.7 | 855 | 2269 | 3.3"lg 1.5 | 4.6"lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
45 pctl · −1.7° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
30
xwOBA Against
30
K%
8
BB%
65
Whiff%
7
FB Velocity
8
Hard-Hit% Against
72
Spin Rate
18
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%