Antonio Senzatela
RPQualifiedColorado Rockies · NL · Age 31 · Bats R / Throws R · 49.0 IP · 202 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 45 of 614 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
30
+0.7 last 7 days
BUYThe process is ahead of the results — fastball velo vs baseline: 97.3 actual vs 95.0 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
9-2
SV
3
IP
49.0
K
42
BB
16
ERA
3.31
WHIP
1.22
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.51
xwOBA.291
xBA.245
xSLG.358
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.31
wOBA.285
BA.240
SLG.344
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.2047
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00642
BA against vs xBA−.00542
SLG against vs xSLG−.01437
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 38.6%(−18.4) | 97.3lg 94.5 | +2.3 | 9003 | 2305 | 13.3"lg 15.4 | 5.6"lg 7.8 |
| Cutter | 29.9%(+28.1) | 91.9lg 89.5 | +0.7 | 8333 | 2270 | 6.7"lg 7.8 | 3.0"lg 2.4 |
| Sinker | 11.8%(+11.3) | 96.0lg 94.0 | +3.8 | 7966 | 2204 | 7.1"lg 8.4 | 12.9"lg 15.0 |
| Curveball | 10.1%(−4.7) | 83.2lg 80.3 | +2.8 | 8165 | 2507 | -4.7"lg -10.4 | 5.3"lg 8.8 |
| Changeup | 6.8%(−1.1) | 90.9lg 86.6 | +3.3 | 9267 | 2250 | 6.7"lg 4.1 | 12.2"lg 14.0 |
| Slider | 2.8%(−15.2) | 86.3lg 86.2 | −0.5 | 4798 | 2418 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
58 pctl · −2.3° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
74
xwOBA Against
74
K%
35
BB%
69
Whiff%
43
FB Velocity
90
Hard-Hit% Against
38
Spin Rate
53
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%