Drew Rasmussen
SPQualifiedTampa Bay Rays · AL · Age 30 · Bats R / Throws R · 99.3 IP · 392 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 39 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
32
+1.1 last 7 days
BUYThe process is ahead of the results — spin rate vs baseline: 2524.0 actual vs 2481.0 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
7-5
SV
0
IP
99.3
K
98
BB
17
ERA
3.26
WHIP
0.95
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.29
xwOBA.282
xBA.235
xSLG.366
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.26
wOBA.262
BA.209
SLG.341
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.0352
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.02024
BA against vs xBA−.02619
SLG against vs xSLG−.02528
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 31.3%(−0.1) | 90.1lg 89.5 | −0.2 | 5523 | 2654 | 3.8"lg 7.9 | 4.5"lg 2.4 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 26.8%(−8.4) | 96.0lg 94.5 | +0.2 | 7362 | 2524 | 17.2"lg 15.4 | 4.2"lg 7.8 |
| Sinker | 22.0%(−0.9) | 95.5lg 94.0 | +0.1 | 7384 | 2436 | 12.7"lg 8.4 | 16.2"lg 15.0 |
| Changeup | 12.2%(+11.0) | 90.1lg 86.6 | +0.7 | 8793 | 1187 | 2.7"lg 4.1 | 12.6"lg 14.0 |
| Curveball | 4.6%(+0.3) | 80.5lg 80.3 | +0.1 | 4826 | 2617 | —lg -10.3 | —lg 8.8 |
| Sweeper | 3.0%(−1.7) | 84.5lg 82.5 | −0.1 | 7741 | 2528 | —lg 0.9 | —lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
91 pctl · −2.4° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
82
xwOBA Against
82
K%
75
BB%
98
Whiff%
40
FB Velocity
74
Hard-Hit% Against
82
Spin Rate
94
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%