Chris Sale
SPQualifiedAtlanta Braves · NL · Age 37 · Bats L / Throws L · 105.0 IP · 426 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 55 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
27
+8.1 last 7 days
BUYThe process is ahead of the results — fastball velo vs baseline: 96.0 actual vs 94.8 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
10-6
SV
0
IP
105.0
K
123
BB
25
ERA
2.06
WHIP
1.06
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.31
xwOBA.283
xBA.228
xSLG.342
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA2.06
wOBA.268
BA.221
SLG.314
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.2516
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.01529
BA against vs xBA−.00739
SLG against vs xSLG−.02825
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 40.7%(−1.0) | 96.0lg 94.5 | +1.2 | 7362 | 2324 | 9.7"lg 15.4 | 14.6"lg 7.8 |
| Slider | 39.1%(−8.2) | 79.4lg 86.2 | +0.3 | 238 | 2490 | -4.3"lg 1.5 | 12.3"lg 4.1 |
| Changeup | 11.7%(+4.1) | 88.3lg 86.6 | +1.5 | 6902 | 1841 | -0.4"lg 4.1 | 16.2"lg 14.0 |
| Sinker | 8.5%(+5.0) | 95.5lg 94.0 | +1.5 | 7384 | 2186 | 2.2"lg 8.4 | 18.0"lg 15.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
3 pctl · +2.4° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
80
xwOBA Against
80
K%
91
BB%
90
Whiff%
83
FB Velocity
74
Hard-Hit% Against
85
Spin Rate
59
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%