Landen Roupp
SPQualifiedSan Francisco Giants · NL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 104.0 IP · 435 BF
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 46 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
30
−1.1 last 7 days
BUYThe process is ahead of the results — hard-hit% against vs league: 28.8 actual vs 38.8 deserved.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (65% confidence).
W-L
7-8
SV
0
IP
104.0
K
106
BB
45
ERA
3.98
WHIP
1.27
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.41
xwOBA.287
xBA.225
xSLG.322
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.98
wOBA.297
BA.227
SLG.352
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+0.5770
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.01064
BA against vs xBA+.00253
SLG against vs xSLG+.03068
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 35.8%(−4.1) | 93.3lg 94.0 | +0.5 | 3597 | 2061 | 3.1"lg 8.4 | 17.3"lg 15.0 |
| Curveball | 25.8%(−9.9) | 76.7lg 80.3 | ±0.0 | 1519 | 3072 | -8.4"lg -10.3 | 19.2"lg 8.8 |
| Changeup | 20.2%(+3.2) | 87.2lg 86.6 | +0.6 | 5659 | 1888 | -2.6"lg 4.1 | 15.5"lg 14.0 |
| Cutter | 13.9%(+7.2) | 88.9lg 89.5 | −1.4 | 4116 | 2350 | 5.5"lg 7.9 | 2.9"lg 2.4 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 4.3%(+3.6) | 92.9lg 94.5 | −0.2 | 2336 | 2155 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
13 pctl · +0.6° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
77
xwOBA Against
77
K%
70
BB%
29
Whiff%
59
FB Velocity
26
Hard-Hit% Against
95
Spin Rate
16
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%