xwOBA
.325#4
wOBA
.312#21
xERA
4.67#24
ERA
4.09#14
K%
20.4#5
BB%
8.6#20
What they're good at
- ✅ #4 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ✅ #5 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #24 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
- ❌ #21 in actual offense (wOBA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
