xwOBA
.322#12
wOBA
.303#28
xERA
3.98#9
ERA
4.04#12
K%
21.9#16
BB%
8.5#22
What they're good at
- ✅ #9 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #28 in actual offense (wOBA)
- ❌ #22 in drawing walks (BB%)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
