Freddy Peralta
SPQualifiedNew York Mets · NL · Age 30 · Bats R / Throws R · 109.7 IP · 492 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 443 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
5
−5.1 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: arm slot dropped — deliberate change or mechanical compensation (47% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −5.8°.
W-L
5-9
SV
0
IP
109.7
K
110
BB
46
ERA
5.01
WHIP
1.46
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA3.83
xwOBA.303
xBA.235
xSLG.365
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA5.01
wOBA.342
BA.261
SLG.446
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.1882
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03986
BA against vs xBA+.02679
SLG against vs xSLG+.08188
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 53.2%(−0.3) | 94.2lg 94.5 | −0.6 | 4282 | 2423 | 16.6"lg 15.4 | 7.1"lg 7.8 |
| Changeup | 20.9%(−0.3) | 87.3lg 86.6 | −1.6 | 5817 | 1941 | 2.7"lg 4.1 | 17.6"lg 14.0 |
| Curveball | 14.8%(−0.3) | 78.8lg 80.3 | ±0.0 | 3006 | 2295 | -3.9"lg -10.3 | 5.1"lg 8.8 |
| Slider | 5.9%(−3.2) | 83.1lg 86.2 | −0.7 | 1164 | 2345 | 3.5"lg 1.5 | 2.8"lg 4.1 |
| Sweeper | 5.2%(+4.1) | 81.7lg 82.5 | +1.5 | 3724 | 2490 | 5.1"lg 0.9 | 11.2"lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −5.8°
Arm slot
32 pctl · −5.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
65
xwOBA Against
65
K%
58
BB%
54
Whiff%
67
FB Velocity
45
Hard-Hit% Against
56
Spin Rate
83
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%