xwOBA
.309#26
wOBA
.309#23
xERA
3.93#7
ERA
3.52#3
K%
22.2#17
BB%
8.1#26
What they're good at
- ✅ #3 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #7 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #26 in drawing walks (BB%)
- ❌ #26 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ❌ #23 in actual offense (wOBA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
