Roman Anthony

Boston Red Sox · AL · Age 22 · Bats L / Throws R · 130 PA

↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 78 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−4.3 last 7 days

BUYBalancedThe process is ahead of the results — slg vs xslg: .321 actual vs .410 deserved.

Most likely driver: results lag the process â€” batted-ball luck, not skill (33% confidence).

130

RBI

AVG

.229

OBP

.354

SLG

.321

OPS

.675

DefenseArm 92.9 mph71pSprint 27.4 ft/s51p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.262

xSLG.410

xwOBA.352

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.229

SLG.321

wOBA.309

BABIP.320

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA−.03386

SLG vs xSLG−.08995

wOBA vs xwOBA−.04391

BABIP vs xBABIP+.03923

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

Balanced

No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.

The swing

Bat Speed75.6 mph93 pctl

Swing Length7.5 ft69 pctl

Fast-Swing Rate54.0%90 pctl

Squared-Up Rate26.1%66 pctl

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
4-Seam Fastball	32	.373	.442	.327	14.1lg 22.0	12.5	0.4
Sinker	25	.298	.344	.351	17.6lg 13.7	24.0	-2.1
Curveball	20	.220	.285	.281	47.8lg 30.8	45.0	-0.8
Changeup	14	.243	.263	.278	44.0lg 31.5	28.6	-0.2
Slider	18	.447	.419	.288	26.9lg 33.5	16.7	2.3

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.321	.410	−.089	95	89
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.309	.352	−.043	91	83
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	47.4	37.6	+9.8	87	75
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.229	.262	−.033	86	71
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.5	7.4	+0.1	23	55
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.320	.281	+.039	23	54
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	25.4	27.7	−2.3	75	49
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	15.4	13.2	+2.2	73	46
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	28.1	29.8	−1.7	71	43
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	9.2	7.6	+1.6	68	36
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	75.6	75.1	+0.5	66	31
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	21.6	20.1	+1.5	52	4
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	92.3	92.3	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	8.3	8.3	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs OAK	L 4-9	0-4	Max EV 103.9 mph
Jul 19	vs PHI	W 8-3	0-5	Max EV 105.7 mph
Jul 18	@ SD	L 3-5	1-4	Max EV 99.4 mph
Jul 16	@ SD	L 3-10	0-4	Max EV 94.3 mph
Jul 15	@ TB	W 7-5	0-3	Max EV 100.9 mph
Jul 14	@ CLE	W 9-8	0-3, BB	Max EV 99.1 mph
Jul 13	vs NYY	L 5-9	0-3	Max EV 102.1 mph
Jul 12	@ TEX	W 9-2	0-3	Max EV 103.3 mph
Jul 10	vs SEA	W 4-1	2-4, BB	Max EV 97.4 mph
Jul 8	vs WSH	W 3-0	0-4	Max EV 100.8 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

4-Seam Fastball

.373

.442

.327

14.1lg 22.0

12.5

0.4

Sinker

.298

.344

.351

17.6lg 13.7

24.0

-2.1

Curveball

.220

.285

.281

47.8lg 30.8

45.0

-0.8

Changeup

.243

.263

.278

44.0lg 31.5

28.6

-0.2

Slider

.447

.419

.288

26.9lg 33.5

16.7

2.3

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.321

.410

−.089

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.309

.352

−.043

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

47.4

37.6

+9.8

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.229

.262

−.033

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.5

7.4

+0.1

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.320

.281

+.039

K% vs baseline

Discipline

25.4

27.7

−2.3

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

15.4

13.2

+2.2

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

28.1

29.8

−1.7

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

9.2

7.6

+1.6

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

75.6

75.1

+0.5

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

21.6

20.1

+1.5

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

92.3

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

8.3

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs OAK

L 4-9

0-4

Jul 19

vs PHI

W 8-3

0-5

Jul 18

@ SD

L 3-5

1-4

Jul 16

@ SD

L 3-10

0-4

Jul 15

@ TB

W 7-5

0-3

Jul 14

@ CLE

W 9-8

0-3, BB

Jul 13

vs NYY

L 5-9

0-3

Jul 12

@ TEX

W 9-2

0-3

Jul 10

vs SEA

W 4-1

2-4, BB

Jul 8

vs WSH

W 3-0

0-4