Mickey Gasper

Boston Red Sox · AL · Age 30 · Bats S / Throws R · 119 PA

— NeutralHOLDRank 470 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−3.1 last 7 days

HOLDCompact ContactProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: plate-discipline erosion â€” expanding the zone (25% confidence).

119

RBI

AVG

.243

OBP

.305

SLG

.308

OPS

.613

DefenseSprint 26.8 ft/s33p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.226

xSLG.329

xwOBA.280

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.243

SLG.308

wOBA.277

BABIP.299

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA+.01727

SLG vs xSLG−.02168

wOBA vs xwOBA−.00354

BABIP vs xBABIP+.01839

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

Compact Contact

Short, flat, repeatable swing — squares the ball up and rarely misses, trades away loft.

The swing

Bat Speed72.0 mph51 pctl

Swing Length6.6 ft4 pctl

Fast-Swing Rate15.1%42 pctl

Squared-Up Rate33.1%93 pctl

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
4-Seam Fastball	40	.455	.411	.327	8.6lg 22.0	7.5	2.5
Slider	14	.279	.275	.288	27.6lg 33.5	21.4	-0.2
Changeup	18	.159	.150	.278	28.6lg 31.5	33.3	-2.9
Sinker	18	.319	.237	.351	17.2lg 13.7	5.6	-2.1
Cutter	13	.054	.194	.351	20.0lg 22.5	30.8	-6.9

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	72.0	70.6	+1.4	89	78
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	7.6	9.1	−1.5	24	53
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	4.5	7.6	−3.1	25	50
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	6.6	6.5	+0.1	26	48
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.243	.226	+.017	27	47
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.308	.329	−.021	68	35
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	17.6	18.2	−0.6	63	25
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	36.4	37.6	−1.2	38	24
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.299	.281	+.018	39	23
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	23.6	20.4	+3.2	39	21
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.277	.280	−.003	54	7
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	18.5	18.5	±0.0	50	0
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	88.3	88.3	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	16.4	16.4	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	@ AZ	W 8-3	1-5, 2 RBI, BB	Max EV 92.8 mph
Jul 19	vs OAK	L 2-7	2-4	Max EV 97.1 mph
Jul 18	vs PHI	L 2-7	0-4, BB	Max EV 98.8 mph
Jul 16	@ STL	W 4-0	0-4	Max EV 103.8 mph
Jul 14	@ BAL	L 2-9	0-3	Max EV 98.0 mph
Jul 13	@ CIN	L 4-7	0-5	Max EV 96.0 mph
Jul 11	vs TOR	L 4-6	1-3, 2 RBI, BB	Max EV 88.4 mph
Jul 9	vs SF	L 1-8	1-5	Max EV 97.0 mph
Jul 8	vs TB	W 6-5	2-3	Max EV 101.3 mph
Jul 7	vs SF	L 5-10	0-5, BB	Max EV 99.2 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

4-Seam Fastball

.455

.411

.327

8.6lg 22.0

7.5

2.5

Slider

.279

.275

.288

27.6lg 33.5

21.4

-0.2

Changeup

.159

.150

.278

28.6lg 31.5

33.3

-2.9

Sinker

.319

.237

.351

17.2lg 13.7

5.6

-2.1

Cutter

.054

.194

.351

20.0lg 22.5

30.8

-6.9

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

72.0

70.6

+1.4

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

7.6

9.1

−1.5

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

4.5

7.6

−3.1

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

6.6

6.5

+0.1

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.243

.226

+.017

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.308

.329

−.021

K% vs baseline

Discipline

17.6

18.2

−0.6

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

36.4

37.6

−1.2

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.299

.281

+.018

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

23.6

20.4

+3.2

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.277

.280

−.003

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

18.5

±0.0

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

88.3

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

16.4

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

@ AZ

W 8-3

1-5, 2 RBI, BB

Jul 19

vs OAK

L 2-7

2-4

Jul 18

vs PHI

L 2-7

0-4, BB

Jul 16

@ STL

W 4-0

0-4

Jul 14

@ BAL

L 2-9

0-3

Jul 13

@ CIN

L 4-7

0-5

Jul 11

vs TOR

L 4-6

1-3, 2 RBI, BB

Jul 9

vs SF

L 1-8

1-5

Jul 8

vs TB

W 6-5

2-3

Jul 7

vs SF

L 5-10

0-5, BB