xwOBA
.332#2
wOBA
.333#2
xERA
5.00#29
ERA
4.78#27
K%
21.4#12
BB%
8.9#15
What they're good at
- ✅ #2 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ✅ #2 in actual offense (wOBA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #29 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
- ❌ #27 in actual run prevention (ERA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
