Andrés Chaparro
1BWashington Nationals · NL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 78 PA
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 101 of 527 hitters by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
31
−0.3 last 7 days
BUYBalancedThe process is ahead of the results — bb% vs baseline: 15.4 actual vs 6.8 deserved.
Most likely driver: results lag the process — batted-ball luck, not skill (31% confidence).
G
34
PA
78
H
14
HR
4
R
14
RBI
18
SB
0
BB
12
SO
19
AVG
.215
OBP
.346
SLG
.446
OPS
.792
DefenseSprint 25.1 ft/s6p
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xBA.258
xSLG.517
xwOBA.390
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
BA.215
SLG.446
wOBA.350
BABIP.238
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
AVG vs xBA−.04392
SLG vs xSLG−.07191
wOBA vs xwOBA−.04090
BABIP vs xBABIP−.04383
Swing DNA & matchups
2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA
Balanced
No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.
The swing
Bat Speed74.7 mph85 pctl
Swing Length7.3 ft52 pctl
Fast-Swing Rate48.4%85 pctl
Squared-Up Rate23.8%50 pctl
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
| Pitch | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | lg xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 21 | .464 | .524 | .327 | 19.6lg 22.0 | 19.0 | 0.8 |
| Changeup | 19 | .366 | .353 | .278 | 33.3lg 31.5 | 15.8 | 1.0 |
| Slider | 10 | .280 | .365 | .288 | 52.9lg 33.5 | 40.0 | 0.2 |
| Cutter | 10 | .320 | .406 | .351 | 11.1lg 22.5 | 10.0 | 3.9 |
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xwOBA
99
Hard-Hit%
91
Barrel%
92
Avg Exit Velo
81
Bat Speed
86
K%
41
BB%
96
Chase%
56
30-day rolling trends
Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA
wOBAxwOBA
Rolling Hard-Hit%
Rolling Barrel%
Rolling Exit Velocity
Rolling Whiff%