xwOBA
.310#25
wOBA
.323#10
xERA
4.00#10
ERA
3.81#9
K%
21.8#15
BB%
8.9#16
What they're good at
- ✅ #9 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #10 in actual offense (wOBA)
- ✅ #10 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #25 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
