Pete Fairbanks
RPQualifiedMiami Marlins · NL · Age 32 · Bats R / Throws R · 30.3 IP · 139 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 349 of 619 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
8
−6.7 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: era overstates the problem — results behind the process (35% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −4.8°.
W-L
3-4
SV
13
IP
30.3
K
41
BB
14
ERA
7.42
WHIP
1.52
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.11
xwOBA.345
xBA.236
xSLG.471
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA7.42
wOBA.375
BA.264
SLG.529
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+2.3191
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.03081
BA against vs xBA+.02880
SLG against vs xSLG+.05880
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 51.2%(+0.2) | 97.3lg 94.5 | ±0.0 | 9022 | 2399 | 18.0"lg 15.4 | 1.8"lg 7.8 |
| Cutter | 24.1%(+19.9) | 89.5lg 89.5 | −1.1 | 4585 | 2491 | 2.7"lg 7.9 | 5.5"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 22.3%(−17.6) | 83.3lg 86.2 | −2.0 | 1401 | 2518 | -8.2"lg 1.5 | 6.6"lg 4.1 |
| Changeup | 2.4%(−2.5) | 94.0lg 86.6 | −0.2 | 9939 | 2015 | —lg 4.1 | —lg 14.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −4.8°
Arm slot
93 pctl · −4.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
27
xwOBA Against
27
K%
92
BB%
31
Whiff%
82
FB Velocity
90
Hard-Hit% Against
16
Spin Rate
77
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%