Heriberto Hernández
LFMiami Marlins · NL · Age 26 · Bats R / Throws R · 250 PA
↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 30 of 527 hitters by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
47
+0.6 last 7 days
BUYLong LeverageThe process is ahead of the results — hard-hit% vs league: 51.2 actual vs 37.6 deserved.
Most likely driver: results lag the process — batted-ball luck, not skill (54% confidence).
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xBA.258
xSLG.504
xwOBA.360
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
BA.241
SLG.469
wOBA.338
BABIP.272
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
AVG vs xBA−.01772
SLG vs xSLG−.03574
Swing DNA & matchups
2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA
Long Leverage
Long, fast swing — big damage on contact with real whiff exposure deep in counts.
The swing
Bat Speed74.8 mph87 pctl
Swing Length7.8 ft90 pctl
Fast-Swing Rate52.3%89 pctl
Squared-Up Rate28.6%81 pctl
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Timing spectrum
share of competitive swings by timing
on-time 67.7% (+0.0% vs prior) · late 12.4% (+0.0% vs prior)
Barrel accuracy
avg miss from the sweet spot · dashed ring = league
71 pctl (lower is better) ·
30-day rolling trends
Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA
wOBAxwOBA
Rolling Hard-Hit%
Rolling Barrel%
Rolling Exit Velocity