xwOBA
.324#5
wOBA
.332#3
xERA
4.81#25
ERA
4.58#26
K%
21.4#9
BB%
11.1#1
What they're good at
- ✅ #1 in drawing walks (BB%)
- ✅ #3 in actual offense (wOBA)
- ✅ #5 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #26 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ❌ #25 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
