xwOBA
.322#11
wOBA
.318#15
xERA
3.95#8
ERA
3.44#2
K%
21.4#10
BB%
7.9#27
What they're good at
- ✅ #2 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #8 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
- ✅ #10 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #27 in drawing walks (BB%)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
