Dylan Dodd
RPQualifiedAtlanta Braves · NL · Age 28 · Bats L / Throws L · 28.3 IP · 108 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 386 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
6
+2.6 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (29% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle +5.2°.
W-L
2-0
SV
1
IP
28.3
K
31
BB
9
ERA
2.22
WHIP
0.85
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA2.91
xwOBA.266
xBA.207
xSLG.335
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA2.22
wOBA.225
BA.153
SLG.286
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.6929
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.04110
BA against vs xBA−.0544
SLG against vs xSLG−.04916
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 59.2%(+23.9) | 93.8lg 94.0 | ±0.0 | 4536 | 2164 | 17.0"lg 8.4 | 8.9"lg 15.0 |
| Cutter | 33.7%(−20.2) | 87.5lg 89.5 | +0.6 | 2310 | 2047 | 6.2"lg 7.9 | 2.4"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 6.9%(−1.5) | 82.7lg 86.2 | ±0.0 | 974 | 2404 | -1.5"lg 1.5 | 0.8"lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle +5.2°
Arm slot
65 pctl · +5.2° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
89
xwOBA Against
89
K%
90
BB%
65
Whiff%
82
FB Velocity
45
Hard-Hit% Against
40
Spin Rate
24
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%