xwOBA
.308#28
wOBA
.323#11
xERA
4.42#22
ERA
3.87#10
K%
19.1#1
BB%
9.2#10
What they're good at
- ✅ #1 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
- ✅ #10 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #10 in drawing walks (BB%)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #28 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ❌ #22 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
