xwOBA
.316#18
wOBA
.310#22
xERA
3.63#2
ERA
4.30#20
K%
23.8#25
BB%
7.9#28
What they're good at
- ✅ #2 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #28 in drawing walks (BB%)
- ❌ #25 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
- ❌ #22 in actual offense (wOBA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
