xwOBA
.323#10
wOBA
.330#5
xERA
3.53#1
ERA
3.56#5
K%
21.4#13
BB%
10.7#2
What they're good at
- ✅ #1 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
- ✅ #2 in drawing walks (BB%)
- ✅ #5 in actual offense (wOBA)
Where they're struggling
No bottom-10 league ranks.
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
