Tyler Black

Milwaukee Brewers · NL · Age 25 · Bats L / Throws R · 28 PA

↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 200 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

+4.3 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: plate-discipline erosion â€” expanding the zone (16% confidence).

RBI

AVG

.333

OBP

.357

SLG

.481

OPS

.838

DefenseSprint 28.0 ft/s67p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.170

xSLG.229

xwOBA.191

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.333

SLG.481

wOBA.363

BABIP.450

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA+.1630

SLG vs xSLG+.2520

wOBA vs xwOBA+.1720

BABIP vs xBABIP+.1691

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.333	.170	+.163	0	100
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.363	.191	+.172	0	100
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	3.6	38.5	−34.9	0	100
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.481	.229	+.252	0	99
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	25.0	7.7	+17.3	0	99
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.450	.281	+.169	1	98
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	23.1	33.3	−10.2	97	94
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	32.0	21.4	+10.6	5	90
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	71.9	71.9	±0.0	42	16
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.3	7.3	±0.0	55	10
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	7.6	7.6	+0.0	54	8
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	37.7	37.6	+0.0	48	5
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	88.5	88.5	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	13.8	13.8	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs KC	W 8-3	1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, BB	Max EV 93.1 mph
Jul 19	@ OAK	W 6-4	2-5, 2 RBI, BB	Max EV 100.4 mph
Jul 17	vs AZ	W 7-1	0-3	Max EV 90.5 mph
Jul 15	vs MIN	L 1-2	1-3	Max EV 97.4 mph
Jul 13	vs WSH	W 4-1	0-3, BB	Max EV 99.4 mph
Jul 11	@ MIA	W 6-0	2-3	Max EV 100.4 mph
Jul 10	@ NYM	W 7-4	1-5, 1 RBI	Max EV 95.3 mph
Jul 8	vs STL	L 2-9	2-4, 2 RBI	Max EV 97.2 mph
Jul 7	vs BOS	L 2-5	2-3	Max EV 92.8 mph
Jul 6	@ STL	L 4-10	0-3	Max EV 100.0 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.333

.170

+.163

100

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.363

.191

+.172

100

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

3.6

38.5

−34.9

100

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.481

.229

+.252

K% vs baseline

Discipline

25.0

7.7

+17.3

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.450

.281

+.169

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

23.1

33.3

−10.2

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

32.0

21.4

+10.6

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

71.9

±0.0

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.3

±0.0

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

7.6

+0.0

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

37.7

37.6

+0.0

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

88.5

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

13.8

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs KC

W 8-3

1-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI, BB

Jul 19

@ OAK

W 6-4

2-5, 2 RBI, BB

Jul 17

vs AZ

W 7-1

0-3

Jul 15

vs MIN

L 1-2

1-3

Jul 13

vs WSH

W 4-1

0-3, BB

Jul 11

@ MIA

W 6-0

2-3

Jul 10

@ NYM

W 7-4

1-5, 1 RBI

Jul 8

vs STL

L 2-9

2-4, 2 RBI

Jul 7

vs BOS

L 2-5

2-3

Jul 6

@ STL

L 4-10

0-3