xwOBA
.319#15
wOBA
.305#26
xERA
3.87#6
ERA
3.54#4
K%
23.0#22
BB%
9.0#14
What they're good at
- ✅ #4 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #6 in underlying run prevention (xERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #26 in actual offense (wOBA)
- ❌ #22 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
