xwOBA
.326#3
wOBA
.324#9
xERA
3.76#5
ERA
3.44#1
K%
24.0#27
BB%
10.1#3
What they're good at
- ✅ #1 in actual run prevention (ERA)
- ✅ #3 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ✅ #3 in drawing walks (BB%)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #27 in avoiding strikeouts (K%)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
