Brent Headrick
RPQualifiedNew York Yankees · AL · Age 28 · Bats L / Throws L · 50.3 IP · 204 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 484 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
4
−0.2 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (30% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −3.0°.
W-L
5-1
SV
0
IP
50.3
K
59
BB
17
ERA
1.43
WHIP
1.09
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA2.83
xwOBA.262
xBA.211
xSLG.310
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA1.43
wOBA.255
BA.207
SLG.293
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.4013
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00740
BA against vs xBA−.00443
SLG against vs xSLG−.01735
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 48.2%(−15.7) | 94.2lg 94.5 | +0.2 | 4282 | 2345 | 17.6"lg 15.4 | 8.1"lg 7.8 |
| Slider | 34.9%(+9.5) | 84.1lg 86.2 | +2.2 | 1876 | 2062 | 4.5"lg 1.5 | 3.3"lg 4.1 |
| SinkerNEW | 10.8% | 93.4lg 94.0 | — | 3776 | 2355 | 14.0"lg 8.4 | 15.0"lg 15.0 |
| Splitter | 6.1%(−4.6) | 85.2lg 86.7 | +1.3 | 3532 | 1110 | 5.6"lg 3.1 | 9.8"lg 11.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −3.0°
Arm slot
56 pctl · −3.0° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
91
xwOBA Against
91
K%
91
BB%
65
Whiff%
95
FB Velocity
45
Hard-Hit% Against
70
Spin Rate
65
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%