xwOBA
.303#29
wOBA
.303#27
xERA
4.05#12
ERA
3.75#8
K%
22.5#18
BB%
9.6#7
What they're good at
- ✅ #7 in drawing walks (BB%)
- ✅ #8 in actual run prevention (ERA)
Where they're struggling
- ❌ #29 in underlying offense (xwOBA)
- ❌ #27 in actual offense (wOBA)
Rising under the surface
The model's buys on this roster
Overperforming
Results ahead of process — regression risk
Changed mechanically
Measured swing/delivery changes vs last season
