Bo Naylor

Cleveland Guardians · AL · Age 26 · Bats L / Throws R · 90 PA

↑ Positive regressionBUYRank 156 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−2.2 last 7 days

HOLDBalancedProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: results lag the process â€” batted-ball luck, not skill (30% confidence).

RBI

AVG

.143

OBP

.200

SLG

.238

OPS

.438

DefenseSprint 27.3 ft/s48p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.215

xSLG.399

xwOBA.290

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.143

SLG.238

wOBA.199

BABIP.164

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA−.07298

SLG vs xSLG−.16199

wOBA vs xwOBA−.09199

BABIP vs xBABIP−.11797

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

Balanced

No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.

The swing

Bat Speed71.8 mph48 pctl

Swing Length7.6 ft77 pctl

Fast-Swing Rate14.2%40 pctl

Squared-Up Rate23.9%51 pctl

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
4-Seam Fastball	30	.150	.362	.327	9.6lg 22.0	20.0	-6.3
Changeup	10	.360	.356	.278	24.0lg 31.5	20.0	1.1
Sinker	11	.405	.343	.351	0.0lg 13.7	9.1	0.3
Slider	14	.114	.273	.288	13.6lg 33.5	14.3	-5.0
Cutter	10	.215	.191	.351	10.5lg 22.5	50.0	-2.0

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.199	.290	−.091	99	98
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.238	.399	−.161	99	98
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.143	.215	−.072	98	95
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.164	.281	−.117	97	93
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	14.8	22.0	−7.2	94	88
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.6	7.8	−0.2	92	85
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	6.7	10.9	−4.2	9	83
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	11.1	7.6	+3.5	81	62
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	71.8	72.4	−0.6	19	62
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	42.6	37.6	+5.0	70	40
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	23.3	23.9	−0.6	63	25
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	25.6	25.5	+0.1	59	19
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	89.6	89.6	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	18.9	18.9	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs TB	L 4-6	0-3, BB	Max EV 92.6 mph
Jul 19	@ HOU	W 3-1	1-5, 1 RBI	Max EV 95.2 mph
Jul 17	vs BAL	L 4-5	1-5	Max EV 102.6 mph
Jul 15	vs TEX	W 3-2	0-3, BB	Max EV 97.5 mph
Jul 14	@ ATL	L 0-3	0-5	Max EV 103.8 mph
Jul 13	@ CHC	W 6-0	0-5, BB	Max EV 94.5 mph
Jul 11	@ CWS	W 7-1	0-5, BB	Max EV 95.1 mph
Jul 9	vs SEA	L 3-6	2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI	Max EV 98.5 mph
Jul 8	@ CIN	W 3-2	0-3	Max EV 100.4 mph
Jul 7	vs TOR	W 7-4	0-4	Max EV 95.5 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

4-Seam Fastball

.150

.362

.327

9.6lg 22.0

20.0

-6.3

Changeup

.360

.356

.278

24.0lg 31.5

20.0

1.1

Sinker

.405

.343

.351

0.0lg 13.7

9.1

0.3

Slider

.114

.273

.288

13.6lg 33.5

14.3

-5.0

Cutter

.215

.191

.351

10.5lg 22.5

50.0

-2.0

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.199

.290

−.091

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.238

.399

−.161

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.143

.215

−.072

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.164

.281

−.117

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

14.8

22.0

−7.2

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.6

7.8

−0.2

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

6.7

10.9

−4.2

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

11.1

7.6

+3.5

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

71.8

72.4

−0.6

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

42.6

37.6

+5.0

K% vs baseline

Discipline

23.3

23.9

−0.6

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

25.6

25.5

+0.1

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

89.6

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

18.9

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs TB

L 4-6

0-3, BB

Jul 19

@ HOU

W 3-1

1-5, 1 RBI

Jul 17

vs BAL

L 4-5

1-5

Jul 15

vs TEX

W 3-2

0-3, BB

Jul 14

@ ATL

L 0-3

0-5

Jul 13

@ CHC

W 6-0

0-5, BB

Jul 11

@ CWS

W 7-1

0-5, BB

Jul 9

vs SEA

L 3-6

2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Jul 8

@ CIN

W 3-2

0-3

Jul 7

vs TOR

W 7-4

0-4