Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1BQualifiedToronto Blue Jays · AL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 403 PA
Most likely driver: genuine bat-speed decline (strength, health, or age) (46% confidence).
Edge breakdown
Elite bat speed on a flat path — hard contact to all fields, power comes from speed, not loft.
The swing
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
| Pitch | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | lg xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 112 | .425 | .355 | .351 | 8.3lg 13.7 | 5.4 | 0.8 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 68 | .371 | .385 | .327 | 18.8lg 22.0 | 14.7 | 0.8 |
| Slider | 60 | .229 | .283 | .288 | 25.0lg 33.5 | 15.0 | -1.4 |
| Cutter | 38 | .192 | .331 | .351 | 26.2lg 22.5 | 13.2 | -3.2 |
| Changeup | 40 | .328 | .349 | .278 | 30.3lg 31.5 | 12.5 | 1.0 |
| Sweeper | 36 | .283 | .340 | .263 | 23.2lg 31.0 | 19.4 | -0.1 |
| Curveball | 28 | .248 | .356 | .281 | 34.7lg 30.8 | 28.6 | -1.5 |
| Splitter | 14 | .139 | .260 | .263 | 28.0lg 32.4 | 21.4 | -2.7 |
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Where he stands
top-down, side-agnostic (mirrored for LHB)
depth 28.6" (+0.8" vs prior) · off plate 29.0" (+0.0" vs prior)
Where he meets the ball
average intercept, inches vs the front of the plate
75 pctl · −1.4" vs prior
Timing spectrum
share of competitive swings by timing
on-time 62.4% (+0.0% vs prior) · late 15.2% (+0.0% vs prior)
Barrel accuracy
avg miss from the sweet spot · dashed ring = league
39 pctl (lower is better) · +0.0" vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).