Tyler Phillips
RPQualifiedMiami Marlins · NL · Age 28 · Bats R / Throws R · 75.0 IP · 324 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 282 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
10
+0.8 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: command erosion — losing the zone, not the stuff (40% confidence).
W-L
2-4
SV
2
IP
75.0
K
56
BB
35
ERA
3.48
WHIP
1.39
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.87
xwOBA.338
xBA.263
xSLG.417
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.48
wOBA.316
BA.242
SLG.379
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.3913
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.02222
BA against vs xBA−.02123
SLG against vs xSLG−.03821
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sinker | 25.6%(−5.8) | 95.8lg 94.0 | +0.4 | 7838 | 2074 | 8.7"lg 8.4 | 17.2"lg 15.0 |
| Sweeper | 24.5%(+2.0) | 84.3lg 82.5 | −0.1 | 7466 | 2485 | 1.3"lg 0.9 | 12.0"lg 13.7 |
| Splitter | 23.6%(+10.0) | 87.4lg 86.7 | +0.5 | 5872 | 1259 | 2.2"lg 3.1 | 12.1"lg 11.1 |
| Curveball | 16.7%(−6.4) | 83.5lg 80.3 | −0.6 | 8370 | 2565 | -11.7"lg -10.3 | 5.3"lg 8.8 |
| 4-Seam Fastball | 8.7%(−0.2) | 96.3lg 94.5 | +1.6 | 7872 | 2212 | 14.6"lg 15.4 | 8.4"lg 7.8 |
| Slider | 1.0% | 88.7lg 86.2 | — | 8444 | 2186 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
32 pctl · +2.8° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
32
xwOBA Against
32
K%
17
BB%
26
Whiff%
61
FB Velocity
79
Hard-Hit% Against
18
Spin Rate
26
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%