Sam Aldegheri
SPLos Angeles Angels · AL · Age 24 · Bats L / Throws L · 33.7 IP · 151 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 105 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
22
−8.8 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: spin down more than velocity — grip/feel or ball-in-hand change (22% confidence).
W-L
3-4
SV
0
IP
33.7
K
22
BB
17
ERA
5.08
WHIP
1.43
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.46
xwOBA.355
xBA.271
xSLG.450
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA5.08
wOBA.318
BA.238
SLG.400
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.3838
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.03712
BA against vs xBA−.03313
SLG against vs xSLG−.05015
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 47.2%(±0.0) | 92.1lg 94.5 | +0.5 | 1401 | 2198 | 16.0"lg 15.4 | 5.5"lg 7.8 |
| Changeup | 31.0%(+7.2) | 80.2lg 86.6 | −2.0 | 366 | 1882 | 9.3"lg 4.1 | 13.5"lg 14.0 |
| CutterNEW | 9.7% | 86.6lg 89.5 | — | 1173 | 2203 | 5.8"lg 7.9 | 1.2"lg 2.4 |
| Curveball | 7.5%(−4.1) | 74.8lg 80.3 | −0.5 | 712 | 2005 | -8.4"lg -10.3 | 11.9"lg 8.8 |
| Slider | 4.6%(−12.9) | 81.6lg 86.2 | −0.8 | 451 | 2148 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
60 pctl · +2.1° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
19
xwOBA Against
19
K%
8
BB%
21
Whiff%
14
FB Velocity
17
Hard-Hit% Against
74
Spin Rate
24
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%