Ryan Johnson
SPLos Angeles Angels · AL · Age 23 · Bats S / Throws R · 38.3 IP · 169 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 269 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
11
+0.5 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: fastball velocity loss (fatigue, mechanics, or health) (32% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −7.0°.
W-L
2-4
SV
0
IP
38.3
K
30
BB
16
ERA
6.10
WHIP
1.43
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA4.62
xwOBA.330
xBA.247
xSLG.438
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA6.10
wOBA.352
BA.262
SLG.490
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.4885
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.02275
BA against vs xBA+.01568
SLG against vs xSLG+.05278
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 29.1%(−14.3) | 89.6lg 89.5 | −1.4 | 4801 | 2490 | 9.3"lg 7.9 | 1.9"lg 2.4 |
| Sinker | 28.4%(+6.5) | 92.1lg 94.0 | −2.2 | 2162 | 2209 | 5.6"lg 8.4 | 14.2"lg 15.0 |
| Splitter | 27.4%(+21.6) | 84.5lg 86.7 | −3.1 | 2615 | 1867 | 1.7"lg 3.1 | 13.2"lg 11.1 |
| Sweeper | 15.1%(−7.2) | 79.7lg 82.5 | −3.0 | 1466 | 2451 | 5.6"lg 0.9 | 9.8"lg 13.7 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −7.0°
Arm slot
7 pctl · −7.0° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
39
xwOBA Against
39
K%
20
BB%
38
Whiff%
61
FB Velocity
17
Hard-Hit% Against
69
Spin Rate
26
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%