Ryan Helsley
RPBaltimore Orioles · AL · Age 32 · Bats R / Throws R · 15.3 IP · 68 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 253 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
11
+7.6 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
0-4
SV
8
IP
15.3
K
21
BB
9
ERA
4.11
WHIP
1.43
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA2.89
xwOBA.265
xBA.185
xSLG.296
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA4.11
wOBA.318
BA.220
SLG.407
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+1.2282
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.05391
BA against vs xBA+.03584
SLG against vs xSLG+.11192
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 45.1%(−0.4) | 98.7lg 94.5 | −0.6 | 9715 | 2580 | —lg 15.4 | —lg 7.8 |
| Slider | 38.8%(−8.6) | 87.9lg 86.2 | −1.0 | 7435 | 2423 | —lg 1.5 | —lg 4.1 |
| SplitterNEW | 12.1% | 90.1lg 86.7 | — | 8486 | 1447 | —lg 3.1 | —lg 11.1 |
| Curveball | 4.0%(−1.8) | 81.5lg 80.3 | +0.8 | 6028 | 2532 | —lg -10.3 | —lg 8.8 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
No movement data for this arsenal (below the pitch-count minimum).
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
98 pctl · −1.3° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
90
xwOBA Against
90
K%
96
BB%
12
Whiff%
99
FB Velocity
97
Hard-Hit% Against
9
Spin Rate
97
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%