Robert Suarez

RPQualified

Atlanta Braves · NL · Age 35 · Bats R / Throws R · 32.0 IP · 121 BF

— NeutralHOLDRank 334 of 614 pitchers by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−7.3 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.

W-L

4-0

32.0

ERA

0.56

WHIP

0.84

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xERA3.28

xwOBA.282

xBA.252

xSLG.351

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

ERA0.56

wOBA.203

BA.184

SLG.219

BABIP.281

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

ERA vs xERA−2.722

wOBA against vs xwOBA−.0791

BA against vs xBA−.0682

SLG against vs xSLG−.1322

BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050

Arsenal & pitch shapes

2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective

Pitch	Usage	Velo	vs 2025	Velo pctl	Spin	IVB	HB
4-Seam Fastball	47.4%(−16.0)	98.8lg 94.5	+0.2	9775	2415	17.2"lg 15.4	5.7"lg 7.8
Changeup	31.8%(+7.9)	90.7lg 86.6	+0.2	9132	1862	7.3"lg 4.1	15.8"lg 14.0
Cutter	14.8%(+14.6)	96.1lg 89.5	+4.6	9909	2366	12.6"lg 7.8	0.5"lg 2.4
Sinker	6.0%(−6.5)	98.0lg 94.0	−0.4	9555	2388	15.1"lg 8.4	12.6"lg 15.0

IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.

Mechanics Watch

2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average

No mechanical changes detected

Arm slot

69 pctl · −1.5° vs prior

What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
xwOBA wOBA against vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.203	.282	−.079	1	98
xSLG SLG against vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.219	.351	−.132	2	97
xERA ERA vs xERA	Expected vs Actual	0.56	3.28	−2.72	2	95
xBA BA against vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.184	.252	−.068	2	95
Barrel% Barrel% against vs league	Quality of Contact	3.4	7.8	−4.4	93	87
K% K% vs baseline	Contact	21.5	27.9	−6.4	10	80
Horiz. Break Horizontal break vs baseline	Movement	5.7	6.8	−1.1	13	74
IVB Induced vertical break vs baseline	Movement	17.2	18.1	−0.9	16	69
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% against vs league	Quality of Contact	33.0	38.8	−5.8	84	68
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	5.0	5.9	−0.9	78	56
Spin Rate Spin rate vs baseline	Spin	2415	2402	+13	77	53
FB Velo Fastball velo vs baseline	Velocity	98.8	98.6	+0.2	73	45
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	24.0	24.0	±0.0	55	10
xBABIP BABIP against vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.281	.281	+.000	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	vs MIN	W 3-2	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.1 mph
Jul 19	vs PIT	L 1-8	2.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 99.0 mph
Jul 17	vs TB	W 9-5	1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 98.7 mph
Jul 16	vs MIN	L 2-8	1.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 98.9 mph
Jul 13	vs COL	L 1-10	1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 99.7 mph
Jul 10	vs MIN	L 5-7	1.2 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.5 mph
Jul 8	vs CHC	W 3-1	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.1 mph
Jul 6	vs LAA	L 5-10	1.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 98.9 mph
Jul 3	vs NYM	W 5-0	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB	Avg FB 98.5 mph
Jul 1	@ PIT	L 2-8	1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB	Avg FB 99.4 mph

Percentile rankings

xERA

xwOBA Against

BB%

Whiff%

FB Velocity

Hard-Hit% Against

Spin Rate

30-day rolling trends

Rolling ERA vs xERA

ERAxERA

Rolling Hard-Hit% Against

Rolling FB Velocity

Rolling Stuff Index

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

Usage

Velo

vs 2025

Velo pctl

Spin

IVB

4-Seam Fastball

47.4%(−16.0)

98.8lg 94.5

+0.2

9775

2415

17.2"lg 15.4

5.7"lg 7.8

Changeup

31.8%(+7.9)

90.7lg 86.6

+0.2

9132

1862

7.3"lg 4.1

15.8"lg 14.0

Cutter

14.8%(+14.6)

96.1lg 89.5

+4.6

9909

2366

12.6"lg 7.8

0.5"lg 2.4

Sinker

6.0%(−6.5)

98.0lg 94.0

−0.4

9555

2388

15.1"lg 8.4

12.6"lg 15.0

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

xwOBA

wOBA against vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.203

.282

−.079

xSLG

SLG against vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.219

.351

−.132

xERA

ERA vs xERA

Expected vs Actual

0.56

3.28

−2.72

xBA

BA against vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.184

.252

−.068

Barrel%

Barrel% against vs league

Quality of Contact

3.4

7.8

−4.4

K% vs baseline

Contact

21.5

27.9

−6.4

Horiz. Break

Horizontal break vs baseline

Movement

5.7

6.8

−1.1

IVB

Induced vertical break vs baseline

Movement

17.2

18.1

−0.9

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% against vs league

Quality of Contact

33.0

38.8

−5.8

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

5.0

5.9

−0.9

Spin Rate

Spin rate vs baseline

Spin

2415

2402

+13

FB Velo

Fastball velo vs baseline

Velocity

98.8

98.6

+0.2

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

24.0

±0.0

xBABIP

BABIP against vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.281

+.000

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

vs MIN

W 3-2

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB

Jul 19

vs PIT

L 1-8

2.0 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB

Jul 17

vs TB

W 9-5

1.2 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB

Jul 16

vs MIN

L 2-8

1.2 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB

Jul 13

vs COL

L 1-10

1.0 IP, 0 ER, 0 K, 0 BB

Jul 10

vs MIN

L 5-7

1.2 IP, 0 ER, 3 K, 1 BB

Jul 8

vs CHC

W 3-1

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 1 BB

Jul 6

vs LAA

L 5-10

1.2 IP, 0 ER, 1 K, 0 BB

Jul 3

vs NYM

W 5-0

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 1 BB

Jul 1

@ PIT

L 2-8

1.1 IP, 0 ER, 2 K, 0 BB