Rece Hinds
RFMiami Marlins · NL · Age 25 · Bats R / Throws R · 38 PA
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 282 of 527 hitters by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
12
+5.0 last 7 days
HOLDLong LeverageProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: plate-discipline erosion — expanding the zone (14% confidence).
G
13
PA
38
H
4
HR
0
R
2
RBI
5
SB
0
BB
1
SO
19
AVG
.114
OBP
.158
SLG
.200
OPS
.358
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xBA.131
xSLG.157
xwOBA.155
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
BA.114
SLG.200
wOBA.160
BABIP.235
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
AVG vs xBA−.01772
SLG vs xSLG+.04322
wOBA vs xwOBA+.00543
BABIP vs xBABIP−.04684
Swing DNA & matchups
2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA
Long Leverage
Long, fast swing — big damage on contact with real whiff exposure deep in counts.
The swing
Bat Speed73.2 mph70 pctl
Swing Length7.7 ft86 pctl
Fast-Swing Rate40.8%79 pctl
Squared-Up Rate10.5%0 pctl
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
No qualified pitch-type matchups (10+ PA vs a pitch required).
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xwOBA
1
Hard-Hit%
48
Barrel%
54
Avg Exit Velo
49
Bat Speed
72
K%
1
BB%
6
Chase%
6
30-day rolling trends
Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA
wOBAxwOBA
Rolling Hard-Hit%
Rolling Barrel%
Rolling Exit Velocity
Rolling Whiff%