Pavin Smith
1BArizona Diamondbacks · NL · Age 30 · Bats L / Throws L · 89 PA
— NeutralHOLDRank 330 of 527 hitters by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
9
+3.5 last 7 days
HOLDBalancedProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: genuine bat-speed decline (strength, health, or age) (28% confidence).
G
28
PA
89
H
11
HR
1
R
5
RBI
6
SB
1
BB
10
SO
18
AVG
.141
OBP
.236
SLG
.192
OPS
.428
DefenseSprint 24.6 ft/s3p
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xBA.188
xSLG.253
xwOBA.255
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
BA.141
SLG.192
wOBA.205
BABIP.167
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
AVG vs xBA−.04794
SLG vs xSLG−.06188
wOBA vs xwOBA−.05094
BABIP vs xBABIP−.11496
Swing DNA & matchups
2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA
Balanced
No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.
The swing
Bat Speed70.8 mph36 pctl
Swing Length7.4 ft57 pctl
Fast-Swing Rate10.1%32 pctl
Squared-Up Rate23.7%50 pctl
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
| Pitch | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | lg xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 31 | .200 | .256 | .327 | 5.4lg 22.0 | 9.7 | -3.3 |
| Sinker | 19 | .263 | .339 | .351 | 4.5lg 13.7 | 15.8 | -2.6 |
| Changeup | 11 | .309 | .355 | .278 | 39.1lg 31.5 | 9.1 | 0.9 |
| Cutter | 11 | .114 | .146 | .351 | 20.0lg 22.5 | 27.3 | -7.6 |
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xwOBA
13
Hard-Hit%
21
Barrel%
17
Avg Exit Velo
16
Bat Speed
34
K%
65
BB%
78
Chase%
83
30-day rolling trends
Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA
wOBAxwOBA
Rolling Hard-Hit%
Rolling Barrel%
Rolling Exit Velocity
Rolling Whiff%