Noah Schultz
SPChicago White Sox · AL · Age 22 · Bats L / Throws L · 53.0 IP · 231 BF
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 63 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
26
+4.3 last 7 days
SELLThe results are ahead of the process — ba against vs xba: .224 actual vs .262 deserved.
No diagnostic pattern fires — the profile is stable year over year.
W-L
3-6
SV
0
IP
53.0
K
47
BB
29
ERA
5.60
WHIP
1.36
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA6.05
xwOBA.371
xBA.262
xSLG.468
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA5.60
wOBA.338
BA.224
SLG.422
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−0.4535
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.03314
BA against vs xBA−.03812
SLG against vs xSLG−.04617
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SinkerNEW | 24.5% | 95.1lg 94.0 | — | 6751 | 2459 | 6.6"lg 8.4 | 17.9"lg 15.0 |
| 4-Seam FastballNEW | 23.6% | 95.3lg 94.5 | — | 6341 | 2482 | 11.7"lg 15.4 | 11.1"lg 7.8 |
| SweeperNEW | 21.8% | 82.6lg 82.5 | — | 5155 | 2813 | 0.6"lg 0.9 | 14.4"lg 13.7 |
| CutterNEW | 20.0% | 89.6lg 89.5 | — | 4801 | 2654 | 8.8"lg 7.9 | 2.6"lg 2.4 |
| ChangeupNEW | 10.1% | 89.1lg 86.6 | — | 7866 | 1994 | 3.2"lg 4.1 | 16.5"lg 14.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm slot
no prior-season baseline
9 pctl ·
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
12
xwOBA Against
12
K%
32
BB%
15
Whiff%
20
FB Velocity
65
Hard-Hit% Against
41
Spin Rate
90
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%