Noah Cameron
SPQualifiedKansas City Royals · AL · Age 27 · Bats L / Throws L · 100.7 IP · 449 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 480 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
4
+3.2 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: arm slot dropped — deliberate change or mechanical compensation (44% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle −5.9°.
W-L
5-8
SV
0
IP
100.7
K
92
BB
34
ERA
5.27
WHIP
1.46
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.04
xwOBA.343
xBA.275
xSLG.464
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA5.27
wOBA.342
BA.279
SLG.457
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA+0.2360
wOBA against vs xwOBA−.00147
BA against vs xBA+.00455
SLG against vs xSLG−.00741
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 27.7%(+1.3) | 92.4lg 94.5 | +0.1 | 1825 | 2322 | 17.0"lg 15.4 | 6.3"lg 7.8 |
| Changeup | 21.0%(+2.4) | 80.9lg 86.6 | −0.4 | 634 | 1643 | 9.9"lg 4.1 | 12.9"lg 14.0 |
| Cutter | 20.2%(−1.4) | 89.6lg 89.5 | +1.4 | 4801 | 2349 | 9.2"lg 7.9 | 2.5"lg 2.4 |
| Curveball | 17.4%(−1.9) | 81.7lg 80.3 | +0.8 | 6361 | 2305 | -9.3"lg -10.3 | 3.8"lg 8.8 |
| Slider | 9.7%(−4.4) | 85.0lg 86.2 | +0.9 | 2720 | 2491 | 2.9"lg 1.5 | 2.5"lg 4.1 |
| SinkerNEW | 4.0% | 91.4lg 94.0 | — | 1424 | 2258 | —lg 8.4 | —lg 15.0 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle −5.9°
Arm slot
90 pctl · −5.9° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
28
xwOBA Against
28
K%
33
BB%
72
Whiff%
40
FB Velocity
21
Hard-Hit% Against
44
Spin Rate
58
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%