Nick Sogard

Boston Red Sox · AL · Age 28 · Bats S / Throws R · 41 PA

— NeutralHOLDRank 504 of 527 hitters by opportunity score

Opportunity Score

−0.5 last 7 days

HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.

Most likely driver: genuine bat-speed decline (strength, health, or age) (14% confidence).

RBI

AVG

.257

OBP

.350

SLG

.371

OPS

.721

DefenseSprint 28.1 ft/s70p

Edge breakdown

Expected

What the batted-ball quality deserves

xBA.257

xSLG.304

xwOBA.301

xBABIP.281

Actual

What the scoreboard says

BA.257

SLG.371

wOBA.323

BABIP.310

Difference

Actual − expected · percentile of the gap

AVG vs xBA+.00049

SLG vs xSLG+.06711

wOBA vs xwOBA+.02222

BABIP vs xBABIP+.02930

Swing DNA & matchups

2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA

The swing

No bat-tracking rows this season (50-swing public minimum).

Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.

vs pitch types

Pitch	PA	wOBA	xwOBA	lg xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	RV/100
4-Seam Fastball	15	.432	.339	.327	11.1lg 22.0	13.3	2.0

xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.

Metric	Family	Actual	Expected	Diff	Percentile	Edge
Bat Speed Bat speed vs baseline	Swing	71.9	67.9	+3.9	100	99
Barrel% Barrel% vs league	Quality of Contact	0.0	7.6	−7.6	2	97
Hard-Hit% Hard-Hit% vs league	Quality of Contact	16.7	37.6	−20.9	2	95
BB% BB% vs baseline	Discipline	12.2	4.8	+7.4	98	95
K% K% vs baseline	Discipline	14.6	23.1	−8.5	95	90
Swing Length Swing length vs baseline	Swing	7.3	7.1	+0.2	7	87
xSLG SLG vs xSLG	Expected vs Actual	.371	.304	+.067	11	78
Chase% Chase% vs baseline	Discipline	22.6	24.9	−2.3	86	73
xwOBA wOBA vs xwOBA	Expected vs Actual	.323	.301	+.022	22	55
Whiff% Whiff% vs baseline	Contact	18.3	20.0	−1.7	71	43
xBABIP BABIP vs xBABIP	Expected vs Actual	.310	.281	+.029	30	40
xBA AVG vs xBA	Expected vs Actual	.257	.257	+.000	49	2
EV Trend Recent EV vs season EV	Quality of Contact	81.6	81.6	±0.0	50	0
LA Trend Launch angle vs optimal	Quality of Contact	8.6	8.6	±0.0	50	0

Recent games

Date	Opponent	Result	Line	Statcast
Jul 20	@ OAK	L 4-8	0-5	Max EV 89.5 mph
Jul 19	vs SF	L 0-1	0-3	Max EV 88.3 mph
Jul 18	@ CWS	W 9-4	0-4, BB	Max EV 95.0 mph
Jul 17	@ PHI	W 5-2	0-5	Max EV 89.1 mph
Jul 16	vs NYY	L 1-10	0-4	Max EV 88.7 mph
Jul 14	@ MIN	L 3-9	2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI	Max EV 88.0 mph
Jul 12	@ PHI	L 1-4	0-3	Max EV 89.3 mph
Jul 11	vs LAA	L 0-7	1-4, 2 RBI	Max EV 88.0 mph
Jul 9	@ CLE	W 5-2	0-3	Max EV 95.3 mph
Jul 8	vs SD	W 7-3	0-3	Max EV 91.9 mph

Percentile rankings

xwOBA

Hard-Hit%

Barrel%

Avg Exit Velo

Bat Speed

BB%

Chase%

30-day rolling trends

Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA

wOBAxwOBA

Rolling Hard-Hit%

Rolling Barrel%

Rolling Exit Velocity

Rolling Whiff%

Pitch

wOBA

xwOBA

lg xwOBA

Whiff%

RV/100

4-Seam Fastball

.432

.339

.327

11.1lg 22.0

13.3

2.0

Metric

Family

Actual

Expected

Diff

Percentile

Edge

Bat Speed

Bat speed vs baseline

Swing

71.9

67.9

+3.9

100

Barrel%

Barrel% vs league

Quality of Contact

0.0

7.6

−7.6

Hard-Hit%

Hard-Hit% vs league

Quality of Contact

16.7

37.6

−20.9

BB%

BB% vs baseline

Discipline

12.2

4.8

+7.4

K% vs baseline

Discipline

14.6

23.1

−8.5

Swing Length

Swing length vs baseline

Swing

7.3

7.1

+0.2

xSLG

SLG vs xSLG

Expected vs Actual

.371

.304

+.067

Chase%

Chase% vs baseline

Discipline

22.6

24.9

−2.3

xwOBA

wOBA vs xwOBA

Expected vs Actual

.323

.301

+.022

Whiff%

Whiff% vs baseline

Contact

18.3

20.0

−1.7

xBABIP

BABIP vs xBABIP

Expected vs Actual

.310

.281

+.029

xBA

AVG vs xBA

Expected vs Actual

.257

+.000

EV Trend

Recent EV vs season EV

Quality of Contact

81.6

±0.0

LA Trend

Launch angle vs optimal

Quality of Contact

8.6

±0.0

Date

Opponent

Result

Line

Jul 20

@ OAK

L 4-8

0-5

Jul 19

vs SF

L 0-1

0-3

Jul 18

@ CWS

W 9-4

0-4, BB

Jul 17

@ PHI

W 5-2

0-5

Jul 16

vs NYY

L 1-10

0-4

Jul 14

@ MIN

L 3-9

2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI

Jul 12

@ PHI

L 1-4

0-3

Jul 11

vs LAA

L 0-7

1-4, 2 RBI

Jul 9

@ CLE

W 5-2

0-3

Jul 8

vs SD

W 7-3

0-3