Nick Allen
SSHouston Astros · AL · Age 27 · Bats R / Throws R · 103 PA
↓ Negative regressionSELLRank 191 of 526 hitters by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
19
+5.7 last 7 days
HOLDBalancedProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: swing got longer — more power intent, more swing-and-miss (28% confidence).
G
49
PA
103
H
22
HR
1
R
14
RBI
10
SB
2
BB
6
SO
23
AVG
.239
OBP
.287
SLG
.304
OPS
.591
DefenseArm 87.7 mph40pSprint 27.0 ft/s39p
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xBA.196
xSLG.248
xwOBA.228
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
BA.239
SLG.304
wOBA.265
BABIP.300
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
AVG vs xBA+.0437
SLG vs xSLG+.05616
wOBA vs xwOBA+.03710
BABIP vs xBABIP+.01937
Swing DNA & matchups
2026 bat tracking with league percentiles · matchups vs every pitch type, minimum 10 PA
Balanced
No single trait dominates — a league-typical swing shape.
The swing
Bat Speed68.8 mph12 pctl
Swing Length6.7 ft5 pctl
Fast-Swing Rate1.4%4 pctl
Squared-Up Rate20.7%28 pctl
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
| Pitch | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | lg xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 41 | .274 | .250 | .327 | 29.3lg 22.0 | 26.8 | -2.1 |
| Sinker | 19 | .289 | .276 | .351 | 3.7lg 13.7 | 0.0 | -2.2 |
| Slider | 10 | .200 | .122 | .287 | 47.4lg 33.5 | 40.0 | -0.3 |
| Cutter | 10 | .180 | .230 | .351 | 17.6lg 22.6 | 0.0 | -2.3 |
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xwOBA
7
Hard-Hit%
11
Barrel%
6
Avg Exit Velo
5
Bat Speed
12
K%
53
BB%
23
Chase%
88
30-day rolling trends
Rolling wOBA vs xwOBA
wOBAxwOBA
Rolling Hard-Hit%
Rolling Barrel%
Rolling Exit Velocity
Rolling Whiff%