Nathan Lukes
RFToronto Blue Jays · AL · Age 32 · Bats L / Throws R · 231 PA
Most likely driver: plate-discipline erosion — expanding the zone (39% confidence).
Edge breakdown
Short, flat, repeatable swing — squares the ball up and rarely misses, trades away loft.
The swing
Percentiles vs all tracked hitters. Attack angle/direction and tilt are swing-weighted averages across batting sides. Swing type from editable rules — first match wins.
vs pitch types
| Pitch | PA | wOBA | xwOBA | lg xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | RV/100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 74 | .358 | .302 | .327 | 19.8lg 22.0 | 16.2 | 0.0 |
| Sinker | 47 | .262 | .257 | .351 | 11.3lg 13.7 | 17.0 | -1.9 |
| Cutter | 18 | .289 | .324 | .351 | 20.0lg 22.5 | 16.7 | -0.9 |
| Changeup | 22 | .359 | .270 | .278 | 15.2lg 31.5 | 4.5 | 0.7 |
| Slider | 24 | .404 | .348 | .288 | 22.2lg 33.5 | 8.3 | 1.9 |
| Curveball | 24 | .435 | .363 | .281 | 15.4lg 30.8 | 12.5 | 3.5 |
| Splitter | 12 | .329 | .206 | .263 | 15.0lg 32.4 | 8.3 | 2.6 |
xwOBA green/red when 20+ points above/below league vs that pitch. RV/100 = run value per 100 pitches seen (positive favors the hitter). Source: Savant pitch arsenal stats.
Timing spectrum
share of competitive swings by timing
on-time 70.2% (+0.0% vs prior) · late 14.8% (+0.0% vs prior)
Barrel accuracy
avg miss from the sweet spot · dashed ring = league
1 pctl (lower is better) · +0.0" vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).