Mitch Farris
RPQualifiedLos Angeles Angels · AL · Age 25 · Bats L / Throws L · 40.3 IP · 171 BF
— NeutralHOLDRank 542 of 617 pitchers by opportunity score
Opportunity Score
2
+1.9 last 7 days
HOLDProduction matches the underlying process.
Most likely driver: arm slot raised — pitch-design change or new mechanics (26% confidence).Mechanical flag: arm angle +5.2°.
W-L
0-1
SV
0
IP
40.3
K
40
BB
18
ERA
3.79
WHIP
1.49
Edge breakdown
Expected
What the batted-ball quality deserves
xERA5.71
xwOBA.362
xBA.278
xSLG.473
xBABIP.281
Actual
What the scoreboard says
ERA3.79
wOBA.367
BA.276
SLG.487
BABIP.281
Difference
Actual − expected · percentile of the gap
ERA vs xERA−1.927
wOBA against vs xwOBA+.00556
BA against vs xBA−.00245
SLG against vs xSLG+.01456
BABIP against vs xBABIP+.00050
Arsenal & pitch shapes
2026 usage, velocity, and movement per pitch · dashed ring = league average for that pitch type · movement in inches, pitcher's perspective
| Pitch | Usage | Velo | vs 2025 | Velo pctl | Spin | IVB | HB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-Seam Fastball | 46.9%(−3.0) | 91.8lg 94.5 | +1.5 | 1081 | 2180 | 17.4"lg 15.4 | 9.2"lg 7.8 |
| Changeup | 25.2%(−1.5) | 78.9lg 86.6 | +1.3 | 183 | 1689 | -0.5"lg 4.1 | 15.9"lg 14.0 |
| CutterNEW | 14.6% | 88.5lg 89.5 | — | 3628 | 2108 | 10.0"lg 7.9 | 0.1"lg 2.4 |
| Slider | 13.4%(−10.1) | 81.6lg 86.2 | +0.1 | 451 | 2417 | -4.7"lg 1.5 | 3.0"lg 4.1 |
IVB = induced vertical break (rise vs gravity-only). HB = horizontal break. Velo percentile is against all pitchers throwing the same pitch type. Sources: Savant pitch arsenals & movement leaderboards.
Mechanics Watch
2026 in gold · 2025 dashed · thin ticks = league average
Arm Angle +5.2°
Arm slot
86 pctl · +5.2° vs prior
What this can't see: Joint kinetics, hip-shoulder separation, and kinematic sequencing (Hawkeye/KinaTrax, team-internal — never estimated here). Stance angle and foot separation (Savant visuals only, no export). Release extension (column exported empty; needs pitch-level ingest).
Recent games
Percentile rankings
xERA
16
xwOBA Against
16
K%
63
BB%
27
Whiff%
75
FB Velocity
14
Hard-Hit% Against
7
Spin Rate
21
30-day rolling trends
Rolling ERA vs xERA
ERAxERA
Rolling Hard-Hit% Against
Rolling FB Velocity
Rolling Stuff Index
Rolling Whiff%